A Technology S-curve Analysis

Technology Transitions


“To compensate for increasing hardware speed and varying interest in running nodes over time, the proof-of-work difficulty is determined by a moving average targeting an average number of blocks per hour. If they’re generated too fast, the difficulty increases.” — Satoshi Nakamoto

The Halvings


Fooled by Monetary Protocols

Bitcoin is not a Security but it is highly secure


CryptoSupercomputer mining nears $40 Billion annual value, up from $9 billion in the prior list

Purpose of Cryptocurrencies


  1. What drives Bitcoin prices? 12 pages
  2. How does Bitcoin compare to traditional portfolio assets? 9 pages
  3. How does Bitcoin score on ESG? 11 pages
  4. Are CBDCs Kryptonite for crypto? 6 pages
  5. Is DeFi potentially more disruptive than Bitcoin? 7 pages


An Adoption S-Curve for a New Monetary Technology

Figure 1: Technology adoption curves for some major inventions. Bitcoin is 12 years old and has 11% adoption in the US.

Technology S-Curves



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There are only two Monetary SoVs Today: Gold and Bitcoin

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Wealth of a Certain Type


Two to three kilograms by end of the decade?

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Bitcoin as Digital Gold

Stephen Perrenod

supercomputing expert, astrophysicist, cryptocurrency analyst, orionx.net, author of DarkMatter, DarkEnergy, DarkGravity

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